Sunday, June 13, 2021

Five talking points from Super Rugby Trans-Tasman, Round 5

And then there were two – and perhaps not the two we all expected. The final round of the trans-Tasman competition has been and gone, and the suffering of Aussie fans can finally stop – well until the Bledisloe at least.

The results this weekend might have been expected – another clean sweep for the Kiwi sides – but there’s plenty to talk about, so let’s get stuck in.

Brad Thorn will be ropeable
You wouldn’t want to be around Brad Thorn much this weekend after Friday night’s game. Take your pick of reasons why. My best guess is that while he might want to rip the referee a new one for the two yellow card decisions – more on them later – it’ll be his own players that he’s most frustrated by.

Forty-eight missed tackles – 48! Just think this through for a second – the Hurricanes had only 41 per cent of the possession. The ball is in play for roughly 35 minutes out of the game. The Canes therefore had the ball in hand for 15 minutes in the whole game. In those 15 minutes the Reds missed a tackle at a rate of one every 20 seconds.

A Brad Thorn-coached side that misses a tackle every 20 seconds is in for a brutal conversation on Monday morning.

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(Photo by Chris Hyde/Getty Images)

How in the name of all that is good and pure was that a penalty try?
The Queensland players might be quite glad that their coach’s fury at them will be diluted thanks to some incredibly poor decisions from the referee.

The penalty try against Bryce Hegarty was absolutely bonkers. You can agree that the 28-year-old knocked the ball out of play deliberately, you can even agree that this behaviour deserved a yellow card, but you simply cannot be sure that Ngani Laumape was going to score.

It just doesn’t make sense. To award the penalty try the referee has to believe that if Hegarty had not committed the illegal act, then Laumape would have scored. But considering that the act was that Hegarty knocked the ball out deliberately, you are saying that the Reds player got to the ball and was able to touch it.

So if he got there, how can you say that Laumape would have scored? Surely you have to say that actually if Hegarty had chosen not to knock the ball out, then he still could have stopped Laumape from scoring and therefore no penalty try can be given.

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Will Rugby Australia feel the Force to changing their minds?
No Australian side has really covered themselves in glory over the past five weeks, but the Force should look at the trans-Tasman competition and take a lot from their progress. Just like in the Australian competition, they finished behind the Reds and Brumbies but ahead of the Rebels and the Waratahs. They had the least bad points difference of any of the Aussie sides and conceded the fewest points of all their domestic opponents, partly thanks to them also having the best tackle completion rate of any of them, at 85.8 per cent.

Their discipline was good and their set piece not too bad, and they managed to perform at roughly the same level whether home or away.

The area they struggled with was racking up points and really punching holes and gaining metres when they had the ball. They didn’t make too many errors, but they never really scared defences either in close or out wide.

But there is talent among the backline players and experience in key positions. If they can add some more effective ball carriers in the forwards, then the future will be looking good.

It’s worth remembering that the Force brought in a load of new players this season, and to see them perform in this way in their first campaign together should give hope to Force fans. They have shown that they can be difficult to beat. Next season they need to add in some more attacking threat – if they do, they will trouble the Brumbies and Reds again.

Meanwhile, over in Melbourne, the management must be a little bit worried about what’s happening. Not only have they had a shocking season – poor on the field in another season of no progress, and they’ve lost a coach and have had to be away from home far too often – but the powers that be must be looking at the structure of the competition again and wondering whether the Rebels really have a future at the top level of the domestic game.

The Waratahs have had an even worse season than the Rebels on the scoreboard, but they have the advantage over their Victorian cousins of being able to claim that they’re in a genuine rebuilding period and that they have a far more attractive market around them in New South Wales than the Rebels do in Victoria.

With two new Pacific sides joining the competition soon, the Rebels will know that they can’t afford another season at the bottom.

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(Photo by Will Russell/Getty Images)

A Super Rugby final without the Crusaders
The Crusaders are without doubt an incredible side – they would run most international sides close and pick up a number of wins if they went on a world tour.

But having a Super Rugby final without them is actually pretty exciting – even for Australian fans. It’s not that the machine from Christchurch plays boring rugby – they have some wonderfully creative players throughout their ranks – but sometimes it just gets a bit boring to see the favourites play well and win over and over and over.

With the Blues and the Highlanders coming together in the final we’ve got a much more exciting story. The Blues haven’t won a title for 18 years and the Highlanders have so often been cast as the plucky underdogs who everyone likes but no-one bets on to get the win.

The Highlanders are more of a surprise presence in the final, with the Blues finally living up to expectations. But when you look at the stats, it really shouldn’t be that much of a surprise.

They’ve scored 30 tries in the trans-Tasman competition and averaged almost one more try per game than the Blues backed by having two of the top four try scorers in the whole tournament.

They have a higher tackle completion rate, they’ve won the most lineouts in the competition and they have the best discipline out of any of the ten sides.

So the Blues might go into the final as favourites, but the combination of pressure and an in-form Highlanders side could well be their undoing at the final hurdle.

And the brain fade of the round goes to Lachie Swinton
Is Dave Rennie the only one who thinks that Swinton’s hit on Lachie Boshier didn’t deserve a red card? The Wallabies coach tried to justify the Waratahs backrower’s behaviour by saying, “He certainly didn’t have a big run-up in and he’s just trying to get in”.

Come on, Dave. It was a terrible hit. The guy had already hit the ruck and then reloaded and hit Boshier clear in the side of the head.

Now, of course we all know that one of Swinton’s plus points is the aggressive style he brings to the game, but his hit against the Chiefs wasn’t the aggression the Tahs or Wallabies need. It was a dog hit late in a game when the NSW side had already got the penalty and that the Tahs had already lost by miles. There was nothing to be gained other than hurting one of the opposition, and he must have known that there was a chance that he would make the final five minutes of the worst season in the club’s history that little bit harder for his teammates.

Opposition sides won’t have looked at that and thought, “Wow, I hope we don’t have to run out against him!”.

They’ll have seen it, smiled and started thinking about how quickly they can wind him up and get him off the pitch. Fortunately Rennie has other good options in the back row, but it’s such a shame to see the Tahs’ season end on such a sour note.

Original source: https://www.theroar.com.au/2021/06/14/five-talking-points-from-super-rugby-trans-tasman-round-5/

https://therugbystore.com.au/five-talking-points-from-super-rugby-trans-tasman-round-5/

Championship play-off final: Ealing Trailfinders 0-60 Saracens - Ruthless Sarries close in on Premiership return

Saracens take a huge step towards returning to the Premiership by thrashing Ealing 60-0 in the first leg of the Championship play-off final.

Original source: http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/rugby-union/57443588

https://therugbystore.com.au/championship-play-off-final-ealing-trailfinders-0-60-saracens-ruthless-sarries-close-in-on-premiership-return/

Saturday, June 12, 2021

Premiership: Exeter Chiefs 20-19 Sale Sharks - 14-man Chiefs fight back to seal home semi-final

Fourteen-man Exeter produce a superb comeback to beat Sale and secure a home semi-final against the Sharks next Saturday.

Original source: http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/rugby-union/57439127

https://therugbystore.com.au/premiership-exeter-chiefs-20-19-sale-sharks-14-man-chiefs-fight-back-to-seal-home-semi-final/

Chiefs consign Waratahs to winless season

The NSW Waratahs have endured a winless Super Rugby season for the first time after falling 35-7 to the Chiefs in Sydney.

Winger Sean Wainui bagged four tries as the Chiefs consigned the Waratahs to an unprecedented winless campaign with a record-extending 13th straight defeat on Saturday night.

A dislocated shoulder to classy centre Izaia Perese only compounded the Tahs’ woes and provided a selection headache for Wallabies coach Dave Rennie in the process.

Far and away the Waratahs’ best performer this year, Perese would almost certainly have been named in Rennie’s squad on Sunday for the looming three-Test series with France.

But the powerhouse midfielder came off a sorry second-best after a late first-half tackle on Chiefs opposite number Alex Nankivell.

“It (the tackle) didn’t have to be made,” former Wallabies coach Michael Cheika said during commentary on Stan.

“We saw it previously in some of the clips – Izzy Perese going in making tackles he doesn’t need to.

“And if you see it, he’s looking for the big contact – no grip, no arm around – so it’s really unfortunate because’s been very talismanic.

“He’s made some great breaks tonight even for the Tahs. Very disappointing.”

While tossing up the likes of Hunter Paisami or moving Matt Toomua into the centres, Australia’s two-time World Cup-winner Tim Horan urged Rennie to blood 22-year-old Brumbies Len Ikitau instead.

“I actually think you need to start looking to the future,” Horan said.

“You know what Matt Toomua can do. I think you put the young kids in and give them a crack early on.”

As they have been in many other games this year, the Waratahs were gritty against a Chiefs outfit also out of finals contention.

The youthful Tahs showed a glimpse of their promise when fullback Mark Nawaqanitawase soared high to reel in a well-placed cross-field bomb from flyhalf Will Harrison just before halftime.

Their lone try reduced the deficit to 14-7.

But two more tries after the break to Wainui, followed by the Chiefs’ fifth try through replacement Tom Florence, sealed the Waratahs’ fate.

Back-rower Lachie Swinton faces a possible suspension and omission from the French series after being red-carded late on for a careless tackle on Chiefs flanker Lachlan Boshier.

Original source: https://www.theroar.com.au/2021/06/13/chiefs-consign-waratahs-to-winless-season/

https://therugbystore.com.au/chiefs-consign-waratahs-to-winless-season/

Friday, June 11, 2021

Leinster 38-7 Dragons: Fans return as Leinster end season with comfortable win

Leinster bring down the curtain on their season with an easy win over Dragons in front of 1,200 returning fans at the RDS.

Original source: http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/rugby-union/57415681

https://therugbystore.com.au/leinster-38-7-dragons-fans-return-as-leinster-end-season-with-comfortable-win/

Brumbies fall to Smith-led Highlanders

The Brumbies have failed to take a second Kiwi scalp, disappointingly falling to the Highlanders in their Friday night Super Rugby Trans-Tasman clash in Canberra.

The Australian heavyweights were hopeful of backing up last week’s win over the high-flying Hurricanes, but were outplayed 33-12.

The bonus point win sent the men from Dunedin to the top of the ladder, with the two leading teams at the end of the round playing off in the final next Saturday.

All Blacks halfback Aaron Smith orchestrated the victory with a try in each half while he also set up another for winger Sio Tomkinson and was delighted to finish the regular season without a loss.

“I’m over the moon, a little bit shocked,” Smith told Stan Sport.

“In that last six minutes we did everything to give the game away and I’m really proud of the boys to hang in there.

“We’ve given it our best shot to make the final – we’ve won five in a row and I’m absolutely pumped.”

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(Photo by Dianne Manson/Getty Images)

The Brumbies were right in the contest at halftime, trailing 12-14, but didn’t rise to the challenge in the second stanza at GIO Stadium.

Smith darted across the line from the back of the scrum to inflict the first wound in the 46th minute.

While the Brumbies pride themselves on their set-piece they were outsmarted at a five metre line-out when the Highlanders found Billy Harmon on the short side.

And then Smith, New Zealand’s most capped halfback, threaded a pass to Tomkinson to score their fifth try of the night and crucially put the Highlanders into bonus-point territory.

The Brumbies did their best to spoil their opponents’ finals hopes with a late try but couldn’t find their way to the line.

Earlier Brumbies hooker Lachlan Lonergan boosted his Wallabies selection chances with a try from a rolling maul.

Centres Irae Simone and Len Ikitau also combined for a first-half try to press their claims for a call-up for the Test squad to face France next month.

“It was a tough way to end the year,” Brumbies skipper Allan Alaalatoa told Stan Sport.

“In the first half we thought we had the momentum but the Highlanders coming out and scoring two quick tries in the second half really hurt us.

“It’s been a huge learning for us – we’ve come away with one win in the competition so in terms of the review we’ve got to understand ways we can get better for next year.”

Original source: https://www.theroar.com.au/2021/06/12/brumbies-fall-to-smith-led-highlanders/

https://therugbystore.com.au/brumbies-fall-to-smith-led-highlanders/

Thursday, June 10, 2021

Breaking down the New Zealand sides’ dominance in Super Rugby Trans-Tasman

While the tournament is not over yet, with four rounds of Super Rugby Trans-Tasman elapsed, we can firmly say that the New Zealand teams have far outperformed their Australian counterparts in various aspects of the game.

Let’s go directly to the relationship that we can establish between the number of tries and the points in dispute. In Round 1, Rebels-Blues gave an exaggerated measure for the projection of the strengths of the game.

The match ended 50-3 in favour of the Blues and yielded a difference of 47 points: so far, the largest margin of the Trans-Tasman. In that same order, it is followed by the 36-point margin in favour of the Highlanders in their clash against the Waratahs.

With an average of 35 points, the differences favour the New Zealand sides. On average, the differences of the Australians, who counted on the victories of the Reds and Brumbies, are presented at -5 points – it’s a difficult image to tolerate, right?

New Zealand teams have boosted their performance since the beginning of Trans-Tasman.

If we take the last Super Rugby Aotearoa as a parameter and focus on the result of the fixed formations, we see that there would not be too many differences in terms of effectiveness, since lineouts and scrums remained more or less stable.

But when working on the breakdown, we noticed an activity of clear improvement with an improvement of 2 per cent between both tournaments.

This situation of control and stabilisation of the game from the contact has shown its most evident side in the relationship of effectiveness between the occasions that the opponent’s line of 22 is exceeded and the number of tries converted on such occasions.

The average is 55.3 per cent effectiveness for the Kiwis, versus 39.7 per cent for the Aussies. The graph below shows the distribution of this relationship among the New Zealand teams.

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Having consolidated the contact situations in Trans-Tasman, the progress of the New Zealand teams in the attack phases that could carry over to the next Test matches of the All Blacks (versus Italy and combined Fiji) should be focused around the instances of lineout and scrum as platforms.

But let’s go back one more time to contact situations. In some comments made on The Roar, I pointed out the categorical control of the game from the breakdown by the New Zealand teams, losing the ball every 30 rucks executed versus 16 by the Australians.

Is it likely that the different physical preparation of the sides has this shocking consequence, or is it simply the abilities and skills that each player is gifted with?

In this breakdown, the Blues are clear leaders, leading the way with 37 successful rucks before handing over control of the ball to the opponent and strengthening the principle of continuity in the game, a fact that contrasts with the 15 control rucks that the Rebels provide.

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With just one game remaining and aiming to position themselves for a vibrant finale, the Blues, Highlanders and Crusaders are candidates for the first Trans-Tasman title.

In the meantime, the Australian sides must work to close the gap between them and the New Zealanders in the best possible way.

No one promised them a rose garden…

Original source: https://www.theroar.com.au/2021/06/11/breaking-down-the-new-zealand-sides-dominance-in-super-rugby-trans-tasman/

https://therugbystore.com.au/breaking-down-the-new-zealand-sides-dominance-in-super-rugby-trans-tasman/